The latest figures published for Q2 show that we could be as much as 1000 tonnes short of the target if we follow 2015 trends.
Despite being on track to hit the Environment Agency projected target, unless schemes draw upon surplus batteries from prior years or step up collections, there could be a shortfall. But at what cost to the market?
The proportion of cheaper and more readily available lead-acid chemistry batteries being used to fulfil targets is now starting to subside. This may be a contributor to the performance year to date where collections have fallen below treatment for two quarters. If we look at the medium term impact, what does the Q2 battery data indicate about meeting the 2016 targets and the setting of 2017 budgets?
An uphill battle
Since Q1 we have started off with our lowest battery collection rate since 2013, meaning a bigger uphill battle to achieve the 45% target compared to recent years. So far we could be a little way short of the 17,000 tonnes estimated battery recycling target in 2016, and this leaves two options - step-up up collections in Q3 and Q4, or draw upon surplus collections from prior years.
The former follows performance from 2015 but points towards more costly chemistries, whilst the latter requires a longer term strategy in place to map battery sales growth and producer demand, and carrying over collections from 2015 to meet the 45% target.
Ecosurety have been tracking the market for our own supply, and where excess is available for a ‘rainy day’ to mitigate shortfalls.
As a result of recent increased targets and treatment costs, some producers have been prompted to re-tender for their batteries compliance provider. Without a surplus buffer, increased costs can only be passed on.
With the possibility of meeting 2016 targets looking tight, the security of battery supply for 2017 becomes an added dynamic, in addition to the cost and chemistry make-up of battery recycling to consider.
The Q2 data is a barometer of where the UK and individual schemes are towards their end of year obligation, and indicate any mid-year adjustments that are required, either relying on existing collections bringing home the additional tonnages required, or calling upon reserves to top up at the end of the year.
Watch this space in November as the Q3 data is released, when we will see if the UK is still on track to hit the member state target of 45%.
To discuss your batteries compliance obligations please contact our team of specialists on 0845 094 2228 or email email@example.com.
Head of policy
Having gained a wealth of experience in regulatory affairs, waste issues and secondary commodity market analysis, Robbie uses his skills internally as an operational board member and externally to influence legislation change as head of policy. He is responsible for liaising with government, regulators and industry organisations to articulate complex views and interests and to provide high-level policy expertise, industry insight and market analysis to our members.
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